TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yekaterina Dmitrichenko and Mayu Crossley in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yekaterina Dmitrichenko' if Yekaterina Dmitrichenko advances against Mayu Crossley. This market will resolve to 'Mayu Crossley' if Mayu Crossley advances against Yekaterina Dmitrichenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yekaterina Dmitrichenko and Mayu Crossley in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yekaterina Dmitrichenko' if Yekaterina Dmitrichenko advances against Mayu Crossley. This market will resolve to 'Mayu Crossley' if Mayu Crossley advances against Yekaterina Dmitrichenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player's chances, the prediction market may show a different probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of real-world information becomes available, as this market aggregates diverse perspectives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions surrounding the W50 Austin tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Austin tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winner of the match will determine the winning share in this market. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure an accurate and impartial settlement of all outstanding shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even broader trends in the W50 tour, could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the W50 Austin tennis match.