TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 4:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyu Gao and Anastasia Tikhonova in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Gao' if Xinyu Gao advances against Anastasia Tikhonova. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Tikhonova' if Anastasia Tikhonova advances against Xinyu Gao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyu Gao and Anastasia Tikhonova in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Gao' if Xinyu Gao advances against Anastasia Tikhonova. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Tikhonova' if Anastasia Tikhonova advances against Xinyu Gao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and evolving expectations regarding the W50 Austin tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Austin tennis match, determining which player, Xinyu Gao or Anastasia Tikhonova, emerged victorious. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on their holdings in the winning outcome, reflecting the final probabilities established by the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in women’s tennis, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in sentiment, leading to price movements. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into the evolving dynamics of this market.