TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 2:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Olivia Lincer and Merna Refaat in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Olivia Lincer' if Olivia Lincer advances against Merna Refaat. This market will resolve to 'Merna Refaat' if Merna Refaat advances against Olivia Lincer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Olivia Lincer and Merna Refaat in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Olivia Lincer' if Olivia Lincer advances against Merna Refaat. This market will resolve to 'Merna Refaat' if Merna Refaat advances against Olivia Lincer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public interest. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering value for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations, driven entirely by trader activity and available information.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lincer vs Refaat match as declared by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official announcements for the definitive result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as venue changes or weather forecasts, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or the release of expert analysis could trigger price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.