TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano and Amelie Van Impe in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano' if Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano advances against Amelie Van Impe. This market will resolve to 'Amelie Van Impe' if Amelie Van Impe advances against Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano and Amelie Van Impe in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano' if Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano advances against Amelie Van Impe. This market will resolve to 'Amelie Van Impe' if Amelie Van Impe advances against Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook odds which are typically set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and marketing strategies, while this market aggregates the beliefs of individual traders. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities shift as new information emerges or as more traders participate, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, those offered by sportsbooks. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable perspectives on the perceived likelihood of various outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous, decentralized exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the W50 Austin tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information and opinions are factored in. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Austin tennis match, determining which player won. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected match results in related tournaments, or even social media discussions about player form, might also play a role. As the match approaches, live updates during the game itself—such as a player winning the first set—will likely cause significant price movement. Monitoring these factors can help understand potential shifts in the perceived probabilities within this market.