TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 7:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kylie Collins and Anastasia Abbagnato in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kylie Collins' if Kylie Collins advances against Anastasia Abbagnato. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Abbagnato' if Anastasia Abbagnato advances against Kylie Collins. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kylie Collins and Anastasia Abbagnato in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kylie Collins' if Kylie Collins advances against Anastasia Abbagnato. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Abbagnato' if Anastasia Abbagnato advances against Kylie Collins. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a player has a better chance of winning than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on the market, offering potential value for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the W50 Austin tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly updating based on the collective intelligence of the market participants, rather than a fixed line set by a bookmaker.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Austin tennis match between Kylie Collins and Anastasia Abbagnato, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and therefore the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift the perceived probabilities. Strong performance by either player in preceding matches, or even comments from tennis analysts, could also impact trading volume and price movements. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also be a catalyst, especially if one player is more affected by certain conditions than the other. These events will all be reflected in the price action on Polymarket.