TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 2:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Iryna Shymanovich and Ella McDonald in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iryna Shymanovich' if Iryna Shymanovich advances against Ella McDonald. This market will resolve to 'Ella McDonald' if Ella McDonald advances against Iryna Shymanovich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Iryna Shymanovich and Ella McDonald in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iryna Shymanovich' if Iryna Shymanovich advances against Ella McDonald. This market will resolve to 'Ella McDonald' if Ella McDonald advances against Iryna Shymanovich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money trading. If sportsbooks and this market disagree, it can present opportunities for arbitrage – where traders can profit from the difference in pricing. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant event or when new information emerges, as traders rapidly adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the W50 Austin tennis match, determining which player ultimately won. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 27, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading volume will be key to understanding potential market movements.