TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 3:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Kamper and Rose Marie Nijkamp in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emma Kamper' if Emma Kamper advances against Rose Marie Nijkamp. This market will resolve to 'Rose Marie Nijkamp' if Rose Marie Nijkamp advances against Emma Kamper. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Kamper and Rose Marie Nijkamp in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emma Kamper' if Emma Kamper advances against Rose Marie Nijkamp. This market will resolve to 'Rose Marie Nijkamp' if Rose Marie Nijkamp advances against Emma Kamper. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probabilities. Consequently, the odds on Polymarket may differ from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, market participants’ expertise, or simply variations in opinion about the likely outcome of the W50 Austin tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome – in this case, either player winning the W50 Austin tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd participating in this market, and changes as new information becomes available or opinions shift.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Austin tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result, based on the actual event outcome rather than subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also shift market sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters traders' assessment of each player’s chances of winning the W50 Austin tennis match has the potential to move the market.