TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 5:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ella McDonald and Rebecca Munk Mortensen in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ella McDonald' if Ella McDonald advances against Rebecca Munk Mortensen. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Munk Mortensen' if Rebecca Munk Mortensen advances against Ella McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ella McDonald and Rebecca Munk Mortensen in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ella McDonald' if Ella McDonald advances against Rebecca Munk Mortensen. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Munk Mortensen' if Rebecca Munk Mortensen advances against Ella McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares representing each outcome—Ella McDonald winning or Rebecca Munk Mortensen winning—are bought and sold. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people believe a particular player will win, the price of their shares increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the W50 Austin tennis match, determining which player ultimately won. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift market sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even social media buzz surrounding the players, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting new information or a change in overall perception of the players’ chances.