TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 2:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ella McDonald and Mathilde Ngijol Carre in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ella McDonald' if Ella McDonald advances against Mathilde Ngijol Carre. This market will resolve to 'Mathilde Ngijol Carre' if Mathilde Ngijol Carre advances against Ella McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ella McDonald and Mathilde Ngijol Carre in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ella McDonald' if Ella McDonald advances against Mathilde Ngijol Carre. This market will resolve to 'Mathilde Ngijol Carre' if Mathilde Ngijol Carre advances against Ella McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by traders’ beliefs, and the odds represent the collective wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the players’ chances of winning the W50 Austin tennis match. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the W50 Austin tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a particular result. Higher volume generally suggests greater confidence in the market's assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the W50 Austin tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player who wins the match, as officially recorded by tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available, authoritative sources to ensure an accurate and transparent determination of the result. Traders should monitor official tournament results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts regarding player form, could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily impact the odds, reflecting a strong conviction in a particular outcome for the W50 Austin tennis match.