TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carmen Andreea Herea and Lexington Reed in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carmen Andreea Herea' if Carmen Andreea Herea advances against Lexington Reed. This market will resolve to 'Lexington Reed' if Lexington Reed advances against Carmen Andreea Herea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carmen Andreea Herea and Lexington Reed in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carmen Andreea Herea' if Carmen Andreea Herea advances against Lexington Reed. This market will resolve to 'Lexington Reed' if Lexington Reed advances against Carmen Andreea Herea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not fully priced into the sportsbook lines. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the W50 Austin tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official results published by the tournament organizers for the W50 Austin tennis match. The player who wins the match, as officially recorded, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved based on the official tournament results and generally accepted tennis scoring rules.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations, causing the market to react quickly to new information or insights related to the W50 Austin tennis match.