TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 3:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Barbora Palicova and Malaika Rapolu in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Palicova' if Barbora Palicova advances against Malaika Rapolu. This market will resolve to 'Malaika Rapolu' if Malaika Rapolu advances against Barbora Palicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Barbora Palicova and Malaika Rapolu in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Palicova' if Barbora Palicova advances against Malaika Rapolu. This market will resolve to 'Malaika Rapolu' if Malaika Rapolu advances against Barbora Palicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's often useful to compare the two to identify potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Austin tennis match, as reported by the tournament organizers. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a transparent and accurate determination of the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could also impact the price, as others react to their actions. Monitoring tennis news and following the tournament closely will be key to understanding potential catalysts.