TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 6:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Barbora Palicova and Luciana Perry in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Palicova' if Barbora Palicova advances against Luciana Perry. This market will resolve to 'Luciana Perry' if Luciana Perry advances against Barbora Palicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Barbora Palicova and Luciana Perry in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Palicova' if Barbora Palicova advances against Luciana Perry. This market will resolve to 'Luciana Perry' if Luciana Perry advances against Barbora Palicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets reflect public sentiment more closely than sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market's efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation, leading to a potentially more accurate forecast than static odds.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Austin tennis match, specifically which player wins. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match results for Barbora Palicova or Luciana Perry, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions at the W50 Austin tournament could also shift expectations. Furthermore, unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, or even broader tennis news, could cause traders to reassess their probabilities and adjust their positions accordingly, leading to fluctuations in the market.