TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Barbora Palicova and Elizabeth Mandlik in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Palicova' if Barbora Palicova advances against Elizabeth Mandlik. This market will resolve to 'Elizabeth Mandlik' if Elizabeth Mandlik advances against Barbora Palicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Barbora Palicova and Elizabeth Mandlik in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Palicova' if Barbora Palicova advances against Elizabeth Mandlik. This market will resolve to 'Elizabeth Mandlik' if Elizabeth Mandlik advances against Barbora Palicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, and can diverge as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's a useful comparison point for assessing where the market finds value.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Palicova vs Mandlik match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The precise timing of resolution depends on the official reporting of the match results.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updated rankings could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in market outlook, leading to price fluctuations. Keep an eye on tennis news and analysis for potential catalysts that could move this market.