TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 2:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amelie Van Impe and Rebecca Munk Mortensen in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amelie Van Impe' if Amelie Van Impe advances against Rebecca Munk Mortensen. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Munk Mortensen' if Rebecca Munk Mortensen advances against Amelie Van Impe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amelie Van Impe and Rebecca Munk Mortensen in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amelie Van Impe' if Amelie Van Impe advances against Rebecca Munk Mortensen. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Munk Mortensen' if Rebecca Munk Mortensen advances against Amelie Van Impe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official results from the W50 Austin tennis tournament will determine the winner of this market. The platform will look to official tournament sources to verify the match result and settle the market accordingly. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process based on the actual event outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament or significant shifts in public opinion could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 28, 2026.