TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alana Smith and Emma Kamper in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alana Smith' if Alana Smith advances against Emma Kamper. This market will resolve to 'Emma Kamper' if Emma Kamper advances against Alana Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alana Smith and Emma Kamper in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alana Smith' if Alana Smith advances against Emma Kamper. This market will resolve to 'Emma Kamper' if Emma Kamper advances against Alana Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced a player’s chances, the odds on Polymarket may diverge. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or access to unique information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each player winning. As more shares are purchased for a particular player, the price of those shares increases, indicating growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are accurate. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Austin tennis match, determining which player won. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift the odds. Strong performance by either player in preceding matches or tournaments might also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts for Austin could also play a role, as conditions can affect playing styles. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each player’s chances of winning has the potential to move this market.