TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shiho Shibata and Olivia Quigley in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shiho Shibata' if Shiho Shibata advances against Olivia Quigley. This market will resolve to 'Olivia Quigley' if Olivia Quigley advances against Shiho Shibata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shiho Shibata and Olivia Quigley in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shiho Shibata' if Shiho Shibata advances against Olivia Quigley. This market will resolve to 'Olivia Quigley' if Olivia Quigley advances against Shiho Shibata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result in the Shiho Shibata vs Olivia Quigley match, they can take a position in this market, potentially driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Shiho Shibata vs Olivia Quigley match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and the price movements reveal shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shiho Shibata vs Olivia Quigley match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome will be considered the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Shiho Shibata or Olivia Quigley could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or increased media coverage of the match could create volatility and lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.