TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Mickoska and Lucia Gale in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Mickoska' if Sara Mickoska advances against Lucia Gale. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Gale' if Lucia Gale advances against Sara Mickoska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Mickoska and Lucia Gale in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Mickoska' if Sara Mickoska advances against Lucia Gale. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Gale' if Lucia Gale advances against Sara Mickoska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. This allows for a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism, adjusting to new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sara Mickoska vs Lucia Gale match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments might also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, major announcements related to the event itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could trigger price fluctuations. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role in shaping market perceptions leading up to Oct 12, 2026.