TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nana Onozawa and Caitlin Baker in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nana Onozawa' if Nana Onozawa advances against Caitlin Baker. This market will resolve to 'Caitlin Baker' if Caitlin Baker advances against Nana Onozawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nana Onozawa and Caitlin Baker in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nana Onozawa' if Nana Onozawa advances against Caitlin Baker. This market will resolve to 'Caitlin Baker' if Caitlin Baker advances against Nana Onozawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The more traders believe a player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player’s victory will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wagga Wagga tennis match between Nana Onozawa and Caitlin Baker. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market odds at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news related to the players’ recent performance, injuries, or changes in their coaching staff could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the Wagga Wagga venue could also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s style of play over the other. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, driven by social media or expert analysis, can impact trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 12, 2026.