TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mana Kawamura and Mia Princip in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mana Kawamura' if Mana Kawamura advances against Mia Princip. This market will resolve to 'Mia Princip' if Mia Princip advances against Mana Kawamura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mana Kawamura and Mia Princip in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mana Kawamura' if Mana Kawamura advances against Mia Princip. This market will resolve to 'Mia Princip' if Mia Princip advances against Mana Kawamura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of the event happening. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust based on the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wagga Wagga tennis match between Mana Kawamura and Mia Princip, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market odds at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by analysis from sports commentators, might also affect trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.