TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kanon Sawashiro and Naho Sato in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 11:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kanon Sawashiro' if Kanon Sawashiro advances against Naho Sato. This market will resolve to 'Naho Sato' if Naho Sato advances against Kanon Sawashiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kanon Sawashiro and Naho Sato in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 11:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kanon Sawashiro' if Kanon Sawashiro advances against Naho Sato. This market will resolve to 'Naho Sato' if Naho Sato advances against Kanon Sawashiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the willingness of individuals to buy or sell shares. Often, you’ll see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information or react to unexpected developments, as they aren’t constrained by the same overhead as a sportsbook. It’s a useful exercise to compare the implied probabilities to those offered by betting sites.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more people buy shares in one outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are directly influenced by supply and demand, meaning the market price is a direct representation of what traders are willing to pay for a share in a specific outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wagga Wagga tennis match between Kanon Sawashiro and Naho Sato. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets. The final outcome will determine which shares pay out, and the value received will depend on the price paid for those shares when they were initially purchased.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also impact the perceived chances of either player. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by trading activity on Polymarket. A strong performance by either player in a preceding tournament could also cause a notable shift in this market.