TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Adams and Ai Maruyama in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Adams' if Jasmine Adams advances against Ai Maruyama. This market will resolve to 'Ai Maruyama' if Ai Maruyama advances against Jasmine Adams. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Adams and Ai Maruyama in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Adams' if Jasmine Adams advances against Ai Maruyama. This market will resolve to 'Ai Maruyama' if Ai Maruyama advances against Jasmine Adams. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply a broader range of participants. If you find significant differences between the odds on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate that the crowd believes there's an edge to be exploited, or that the sportsbook has factored in considerations not fully priced into this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand, with traders effectively betting against each other. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Adams vs Maruyama match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Wagga Wagga match between Jasmine Adams and Ai Maruyama. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Jasmine Adams or Ai Maruyama could significantly shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or the release of expert analysis could drive changes in the implied probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.