TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between I Wen Wan and Madison Schwarz in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'I Wen Wan' if I Wen Wan advances against Madison Schwarz. This market will resolve to 'Madison Schwarz' if Madison Schwarz advances against I Wen Wan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between I Wen Wan and Madison Schwarz in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'I Wen Wan' if I Wen Wan advances against Madison Schwarz. This market will resolve to 'Madison Schwarz' if Madison Schwarz advances against I Wen Wan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the valuation. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood based on the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the I Wen Wan vs Madison Schwarz match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. Any disputes or ambiguities regarding the official result will be addressed using widely accepted standards for determining the winner of such matches. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure an accurate and fair resolution for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact the trading activity in this market. Unexpected news regarding the players’ form, such as injuries or changes in coaching strategy, could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches might also influence perceptions of each player’s chances. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely winner could trigger increased trading volume and price fluctuations. The closer we get to Oct 12, 2026, the more sensitive this market will become to new information and evolving expectations.