TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Haruna Arakawa and Tori Russell in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Haruna Arakawa' if Haruna Arakawa advances against Tori Russell. This market will resolve to 'Tori Russell' if Tori Russell advances against Haruna Arakawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Haruna Arakawa and Tori Russell in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Haruna Arakawa' if Haruna Arakawa advances against Tori Russell. This market will resolve to 'Tori Russell' if Tori Russell advances against Haruna Arakawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals incentivized to make accurate predictions. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors a particular outcome. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into how the crowd views the likelihood of various results in the Arakawa vs Russell match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arakawa vs Russell match as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to verify the outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements and reputable sports news outlets for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring a clear understanding of the event's final result.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the lead-up to the Arakawa vs Russell match could shift trader sentiment. Strong performances by either player in preceding matches or significant media coverage influencing public perception could also cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions or any controversies surrounding the event could also contribute to market movement. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.