TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Lozitskaya and Kirra Bond-Scott in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Lozitskaya' if Eva Lozitskaya advances against Kirra Bond-Scott. This market will resolve to 'Kirra Bond-Scott' if Kirra Bond-Scott advances against Eva Lozitskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Lozitskaya and Kirra Bond-Scott in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Lozitskaya' if Eva Lozitskaya advances against Kirra Bond-Scott. This market will resolve to 'Kirra Bond-Scott' if Kirra Bond-Scott advances against Eva Lozitskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player’s chances, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to odds on Polymarket diverging from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each player winning the Wagga Wagga tennis match. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wagga Wagga tennis match between Eva Lozitskaya and Kirra Bond-Scott. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available and reliable sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions would likely impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also shift perceptions. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in outlook, potentially causing significant price movements in this market before Oct 11, 2026.