TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dyan Jayasena and Ai Maruyama in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dyan Jayasena' if Dyan Jayasena advances against Ai Maruyama. This market will resolve to 'Ai Maruyama' if Ai Maruyama advances against Dyan Jayasena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dyan Jayasena and Ai Maruyama in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dyan Jayasena' if Dyan Jayasena advances against Ai Maruyama. This market will resolve to 'Ai Maruyama' if Ai Maruyama advances against Dyan Jayasena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or changes in player status.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing mechanism on Polymarket. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Dyan Jayasena vs Ai Maruyama match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning share. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match scheduling, or significant performance updates for either Dyan Jayasena or Ai Maruyama could cause shifts in market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or venue changes could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, leading to price movements. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also indirectly influence trading activity.