TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arabelle Mancini and Himari Sato in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arabelle Mancini' if Arabelle Mancini advances against Himari Sato. This market will resolve to 'Himari Sato' if Himari Sato advances against Arabelle Mancini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arabelle Mancini and Himari Sato in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arabelle Mancini' if Arabelle Mancini advances against Himari Sato. This market will resolve to 'Himari Sato' if Himari Sato advances against Arabelle Mancini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, though this isn't always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and events related to the Mancini vs Sato match, adjusting their positions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Wagga Wagga match between Arabelle Mancini and Himari Sato. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or commentary from tennis analysts offering strong opinions on the players' form, could also influence the market. Ultimately, any information that alters traders’ assessment of the probability of either player winning will likely cause price fluctuations.