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$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nastasja Schunk and Marie Weckerle in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nastasja Schunk' if Nastasja Schunk advances against Marie Weckerle. This market will resolve to 'Marie Weckerle' if Marie Weckerle advances against Nastasja Schunk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nastasja Schunk and Marie Weckerle in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nastasja Schunk' if Nastasja Schunk advances against Marie Weckerle. This market will resolve to 'Marie Weckerle' if Marie Weckerle advances against Nastasja Schunk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic process ensures that the market price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq match between Nastasja Schunk and Marie Weckerle. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and authoritative sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Nastasja Schunk or Marie Weckerle could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in sentiment. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis performance or public perception of the players' chances could contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 13, 2026.