TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariella Thamm and eunchae Kim in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariella Thamm' if Mariella Thamm advances against eunchae Kim. This market will resolve to 'eunchae Kim' if eunchae Kim advances against Mariella Thamm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariella Thamm and eunchae Kim in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariella Thamm' if Mariella Thamm advances against eunchae Kim. This market will resolve to 'eunchae Kim' if eunchae Kim advances against Mariella Thamm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, though it’s important to remember they represent distinct forecasting approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq tennis match between Mariella Thamm and eunchae Kim. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine which player won the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could impact predictions. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also cause shifts in the odds. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their beliefs about the likely winner of the Villeneuve d'Ascq tennis match.