TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Villet and Valentina Khrebtova in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Villet' if Marie Villet advances against Valentina Khrebtova. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Khrebtova' if Valentina Khrebtova advances against Marie Villet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Villet and Valentina Khrebtova in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Villet' if Marie Villet advances against Valentina Khrebtova. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Khrebtova' if Valentina Khrebtova advances against Marie Villet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Villet vs Khrebtova match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information surfaces and traders adjust their positions. Currently, there is no top outcome with a defined percentage chance.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq match between Marie Villet and Valentina Khrebtova. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Additionally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could drive trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Any updates regarding the players' recent performance will likely be closely watched.