TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lola Collin and Heerae Im in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lola Collin' if Lola Collin advances against Heerae Im. This market will resolve to 'Heerae Im' if Heerae Im advances against Lola Collin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lola Collin and Heerae Im in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lola Collin' if Lola Collin advances against Heerae Im. This market will resolve to 'Heerae Im' if Heerae Im advances against Lola Collin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants or the influence of unique information. It is common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional betting markets, especially as the event draws nearer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and provides a constantly updated forecast for the match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Villeneuve d'Ascq tennis match, determining which player won. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the final result. Once the official result is available, the market will settle, and payouts will be distributed to traders based on their holdings in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves leading up to the resolution of the Villeneuve d'Ascq tennis match.