TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Poling and Milena Maria Ciocan in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Poling' if Lilian Poling advances against Milena Maria Ciocan. This market will resolve to 'Milena Maria Ciocan' if Milena Maria Ciocan advances against Lilian Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Poling and Milena Maria Ciocan in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Poling' if Lilian Poling advances against Milena Maria Ciocan. This market will resolve to 'Milena Maria Ciocan' if Milena Maria Ciocan advances against Lilian Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal where the market anticipates a different result than professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares of a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available. The current volume indicates the level of interest in this particular match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq tennis match between Lilian Poling and Milena Maria Ciocan. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also impact perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trades from influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing the trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.