TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kim Chiarello and Heerae Im in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kim Chiarello' if Kim Chiarello advances against Heerae Im. This market will resolve to 'Heerae Im' if Heerae Im advances against Kim Chiarello. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kim Chiarello and Heerae Im in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kim Chiarello' if Kim Chiarello advances against Heerae Im. This market will resolve to 'Heerae Im' if Heerae Im advances against Kim Chiarello. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kim Chiarello vs Heerae Im match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Kim Chiarello vs Heerae Im match, as officially recorded by tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will then verify the result against these sources, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also trigger price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can sometimes create short-term volatility, reflecting shifts in overall market sentiment regarding the Kim Chiarello vs Heerae Im match.