TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 1:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Stusek and Jana Otzipka in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Stusek' if Julia Stusek advances against Jana Otzipka. This market will resolve to 'Jana Otzipka' if Jana Otzipka advances against Julia Stusek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Stusek and Jana Otzipka in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Stusek' if Julia Stusek advances against Jana Otzipka. This market will resolve to 'Jana Otzipka' if Jana Otzipka advances against Julia Stusek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to odds that diverge from sportsbook offerings, particularly as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market as traders react to news and events.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the outcome of the Stusek vs Otzipka match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Stusek vs Otzipka match as reported by the governing tennis body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Julia Stusek or Jana Otzipka could also influence the odds. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts or changes in public perception regarding each player's chances of winning could drive trading activity and alter the price of contracts. Major upsets in related tournaments or shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks could also contribute to movement in this market.