TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 7:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gina Marie Dittmann and Madelief Hageman in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gina Marie Dittmann' if Gina Marie Dittmann advances against Madelief Hageman. This market will resolve to 'Madelief Hageman' if Madelief Hageman advances against Gina Marie Dittmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gina Marie Dittmann and Madelief Hageman in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gina Marie Dittmann' if Gina Marie Dittmann advances against Madelief Hageman. This market will resolve to 'Madelief Hageman' if Madelief Hageman advances against Gina Marie Dittmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can drive the price on Polymarket in the opposite direction. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of market participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is entirely determined by supply and demand within Polymarket – there is no external price feed or influence from other sources.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq match between Gina Marie Dittmann and Madelief Hageman. The platform will rely on widely available and accepted sources to determine the winner of the match. Traders should monitor official tennis results to understand when the market is settled and which outcome is deemed to have occurred. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or particularly strong performances from either player, could also lead to price adjustments. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, while not directly incorporated into Polymarket, might influence trader perceptions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either Gina Marie Dittmann or Madelief Hageman winning the match has the potential to move this market.