TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 1:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amandine Monnot and Kim Chiarello in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amandine Monnot' if Amandine Monnot advances against Kim Chiarello. This market will resolve to 'Kim Chiarello' if Kim Chiarello advances against Amandine Monnot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amandine Monnot and Kim Chiarello in the W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amandine Monnot' if Amandine Monnot advances against Kim Chiarello. This market will resolve to 'Kim Chiarello' if Kim Chiarello advances against Amandine Monnot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the Monnot vs Chiarello match, the prediction market odds may move in the opposite direction. This can create opportunities for arbitrage or simply indicate differing perspectives on the likely result of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome of the Monnot vs Chiarello match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monnot vs Chiarello match, as declared by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could impact the odds. For example, if Amandine Monnot were to sustain an injury during practice, the market might shift in favor of Kim Chiarello. Similarly, strong endorsements from tennis analysts or unexpected betting patterns in sportsbooks could also drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the evolving dynamics of this market.