TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuno Kitahara and I Wen Wan in the W35 Sydney, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuno Kitahara' if Yuno Kitahara advances against I Wen Wan. This market will resolve to 'I Wen Wan' if I Wen Wan advances against Yuno Kitahara. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuno Kitahara and I Wen Wan in the W35 Sydney, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuno Kitahara' if Yuno Kitahara advances against I Wen Wan. This market will resolve to 'I Wen Wan' if I Wen Wan advances against Yuno Kitahara. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors influencing the match. Observing these differences can highlight areas where the market believes there is an edge, or where sportsbooks may have mispriced the probability of an outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different outcomes. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news and updates, constantly adjusting their positions and influencing the price.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Sydney match between Yuno Kitahara and I Wen Wan. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preliminary matches or significant shifts in public opinion could also drive price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to be reflected in the market price. Keeping abreast of these developments is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.