TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuhan Liu and Naomi McKenzie in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Liu' if Yuhan Liu advances against Naomi McKenzie. This market will resolve to 'Naomi McKenzie' if Naomi McKenzie advances against Yuhan Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuhan Liu and Naomi McKenzie in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Liu' if Yuhan Liu advances against Naomi McKenzie. This market will resolve to 'Naomi McKenzie' if Naomi McKenzie advances against Yuhan Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by user predictions, aims to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering more accurate probabilities, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or biases. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, as they are continuously updated by traders responding to events.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants. The current price reflects the collective assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Sydney match between Yuhan Liu and Naomi McKenzie, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the Liu vs McKenzie match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player matchups would also likely cause movement. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by trader actions on Polymarket. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities, leading to changes in volume and price.