TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuhan Liu and Caitlin Baker in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Liu' if Yuhan Liu advances against Caitlin Baker. This market will resolve to 'Caitlin Baker' if Caitlin Baker advances against Yuhan Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuhan Liu and Caitlin Baker in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Liu' if Yuhan Liu advances against Caitlin Baker. This market will resolve to 'Caitlin Baker' if Caitlin Baker advances against Yuhan Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the valuation. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the potential result of the Liu vs Baker match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Sydney match between Yuhan Liu and Caitlin Baker as reported by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The outcome will be determined by the winner of the match, as officially declared by the tournament. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about playing conditions or changes to the match schedule could also cause fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by traders’ own assessments. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments could also indirectly influence the perceived probabilities, leading to shifts in volume and price.