TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 1:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sera Nishimoto and Jessica Nolan in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sera Nishimoto' if Sera Nishimoto advances against Jessica Nolan. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Nolan' if Jessica Nolan advances against Sera Nishimoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sera Nishimoto and Jessica Nolan in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sera Nishimoto' if Sera Nishimoto advances against Jessica Nolan. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Nolan' if Jessica Nolan advances against Sera Nishimoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Nishimoto-Nolan match. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that outcome being correct. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the market's expectation, and traders can profit if their assessment differs from the prevailing consensus. The market's depth and volume provide insights into the confidence level behind the current pricing.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Sydney match between Sera Nishimoto and Jessica Nolan. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and publicly available data. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result publication.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. A strong showing by either player in another tournament leading up to the match could also impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue, or even significant shifts in public betting patterns observed elsewhere, could prompt traders to reassess their positions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely move this market.