TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 1:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Natsuho Arakawa and Sara Mickoska in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natsuho Arakawa' if Natsuho Arakawa advances against Sara Mickoska. This market will resolve to 'Sara Mickoska' if Sara Mickoska advances against Natsuho Arakawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Natsuho Arakawa and Sara Mickoska in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natsuho Arakawa' if Natsuho Arakawa advances against Sara Mickoska. This market will resolve to 'Sara Mickoska' if Sara Mickoska advances against Natsuho Arakawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to represent the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment regarding the Arakawa vs Mickoska match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Sydney match between Natsuho Arakawa and Sara Mickoska. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event's progression and eventual resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategies for either Arakawa or Mickoska could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of their victory. Unexpected results in preliminary matches or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also drive price movements. Major upsets or surprising performances during the W35 Sydney tournament will likely cause considerable volatility in this market.