TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 1:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Natsuho Arakawa and Lucia Gale in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natsuho Arakawa' if Natsuho Arakawa advances against Lucia Gale. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Gale' if Lucia Gale advances against Natsuho Arakawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Natsuho Arakawa and Lucia Gale in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natsuho Arakawa' if Natsuho Arakawa advances against Lucia Gale. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Gale' if Lucia Gale advances against Natsuho Arakawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. Frequently, prediction markets can offer more accurate forecasts, especially when a large volume of trading occurs. However, it's important to note that sportsbooks have different information sources and expertise, so discrepancies can arise. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome of the Arakawa vs Gale match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arakawa vs Gale match as determined by the governing sporting body. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches. The final result will dictate which shares pay out and at what value, reflecting the accuracy of the market's predictions.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the lead-up to the Arakawa vs Gale match could significantly impact trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators and experts could also shift expectations. Major shifts in betting volume, even without specific news, can also cause price fluctuations, as traders react to each other's actions and adjust their own beliefs about the likely result.