TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nanari Katsumi and Funa Kozaki in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nanari Katsumi' if Nanari Katsumi advances against Funa Kozaki. This market will resolve to 'Funa Kozaki' if Funa Kozaki advances against Nanari Katsumi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nanari Katsumi and Funa Kozaki in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nanari Katsumi' if Nanari Katsumi advances against Funa Kozaki. This market will resolve to 'Funa Kozaki' if Funa Kozaki advances against Nanari Katsumi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team or player statistics and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to participate and express their views, potentially leading to odds that differ from traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing circumstances than sportsbooks, as the price adjusts continuously with each trade. However, differences can occur due to varying levels of liquidity and participant expertise.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment. The total volume traded provides insight into how much interest there is in each potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Sydney match between Nanari Katsumi and Funa Kozaki. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Nanari Katsumi or Funa Kozaki could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in online discussions and expert analysis, can also impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might also influence traders’ perceptions of each player’s chances of winning.