TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 12:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Monique Barry and Ya Yi Yang in the W35 Sydney, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Monique Barry' if Monique Barry advances against Ya Yi Yang. This market will resolve to 'Ya Yi Yang' if Ya Yi Yang advances against Monique Barry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Monique Barry and Ya Yi Yang in the W35 Sydney, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Monique Barry' if Monique Barry advances against Ya Yi Yang. This market will resolve to 'Ya Yi Yang' if Ya Yi Yang advances against Monique Barry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and incentives. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, whereas prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring. It’s common to see this market, and others like it, demonstrate different probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information is factored in by traders. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe a certain player will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This creates a constantly updating forecast of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Sydney tennis match, determining which player emerged victorious. The platform will then verify this result against publicly available sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner. Traders should monitor official tournament results for confirmation of the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, might also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could also play a role, as traders incorporate new information into their evaluations of each player’s chances of winning the W35 Sydney tennis match.