TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mio Mushika and Yuhan Liu in the W35 Sydney, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mio Mushika' if Mio Mushika advances against Yuhan Liu. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Liu' if Yuhan Liu advances against Mio Mushika. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mio Mushika and Yuhan Liu in the W35 Sydney, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mio Mushika' if Mio Mushika advances against Yuhan Liu. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Liu' if Yuhan Liu advances against Mio Mushika. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or access to unique information. If there's a significant difference, it might suggest that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Mushika vs Liu match. It’s important to compare both to inform your own assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Mushika vs Liu match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. The market’s price is determined by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Sydney match between Mio Mushika and Yuhan Liu. Specifically, the market will determine which player won the match according to the official tournament results. The outcome will be assessed based on publicly available and widely accepted sources of information, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process for this market.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. For example, an announcement that Mio Mushika is experiencing a minor injury might cause traders to decrease their confidence in her chances of winning, lowering the price of shares representing her victory. Similarly, strong performance in a preceding match, or favorable weather forecasts, could move the market. Unexpected developments leading up to the match are likely to be reflected in the trading volume and price action.