TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Swan and Funa Kozaki in the W35 Sydney, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Swan' if Katie Swan advances against Funa Kozaki. This market will resolve to 'Funa Kozaki' if Funa Kozaki advances against Katie Swan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Swan and Funa Kozaki in the W35 Sydney, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Swan' if Katie Swan advances against Funa Kozaki. This market will resolve to 'Funa Kozaki' if Funa Kozaki advances against Katie Swan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing perspectives on the Swan vs Kozaki match.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the W35 Sydney match between Katie Swan and Funa Kozaki will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official tournament results and widely available sports news sources to verify the outcome and settle the market. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event's progress.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. For example, if Katie Swan were to withdraw from the match due to injury, the odds would likely change dramatically in favor of Funa Kozaki. Unexpected weather conditions or a change in the playing surface could also impact the perceived probabilities. Monitoring tennis news and expert analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts for movement in this market.