TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Adams and Lucia Gale in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Adams' if Jasmine Adams advances against Lucia Gale. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Gale' if Lucia Gale advances against Jasmine Adams. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Adams and Lucia Gale in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Adams' if Jasmine Adams advances against Lucia Gale. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Gale' if Lucia Gale advances against Jasmine Adams. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Adams vs Gale match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if many traders believe Jasmine Adams will win, the price of shares representing her victory will increase, and vice versa for Lucia Gale.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Sydney match between Jasmine Adams and Lucia Gale. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, or even broader developments within the W35 tour, might also play a role. Public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also impact trading activity and therefore the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the perceived probabilities of each player winning the Adams vs Gale match.