TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hikaru Sato and I Wen Wan in the W35 Sydney, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hikaru Sato' if Hikaru Sato advances against I Wen Wan. This market will resolve to 'I Wen Wan' if I Wen Wan advances against Hikaru Sato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hikaru Sato and I Wen Wan in the W35 Sydney, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hikaru Sato' if Hikaru Sato advances against I Wen Wan. This market will resolve to 'I Wen Wan' if I Wen Wan advances against Hikaru Sato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, leading to adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sato vs Wan match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by factors like news, injuries, and overall market sentiment, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing environment for this event.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Sydney match between Hikaru Sato and I Wen Wan. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning player. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all traders participating in this market. Traders should monitor official announcements for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Hikaru Sato or I Wen Wan, or changes in their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or playing conditions could also have an impact. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tournaments or changes in expert predictions could influence how traders assess the probability of each player winning the Sato vs Wan match.