TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgia Campbell and Pauline Ma in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgia Campbell' if Georgia Campbell advances against Pauline Ma. This market will resolve to 'Pauline Ma' if Pauline Ma advances against Georgia Campbell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgia Campbell and Pauline Ma in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgia Campbell' if Georgia Campbell advances against Pauline Ma. This market will resolve to 'Pauline Ma' if Pauline Ma advances against Georgia Campbell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s a useful comparison for informed analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market's efficiency stems from the incentives for traders to express their true beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate predictions than traditional methods.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Georgia Campbell vs Pauline Ma match, as reported by the governing body of the tournament. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact the market. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the tournament could indirectly affect perceptions of the players’ chances. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is crucial for making informed trading decisions in this market.