TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Erika Sema and Miho Kuramochi in the W35 Sydney, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Erika Sema' if Erika Sema advances against Miho Kuramochi. This market will resolve to 'Miho Kuramochi' if Miho Kuramochi advances against Erika Sema. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Erika Sema and Miho Kuramochi in the W35 Sydney, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Erika Sema' if Erika Sema advances against Miho Kuramochi. This market will resolve to 'Miho Kuramochi' if Miho Kuramochi advances against Erika Sema. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the expertise of oddsmakers, while this market relies on the aggregated predictions of individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the available data. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially for niche events or rapidly evolving situations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares are bought and sold, adjusting the price based on supply and demand. As more people believe Erika Sema will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa for Miho Kuramochi. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share in this market represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders on the platform. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely winner of the match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Sydney match between Erika Sema and Miho Kuramochi. The platform will look to established tennis reporting sources to verify the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injury reports, or changes in their playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about their strategies or coaching changes might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, as well as public opinion expressed through polls or social media, could all contribute to movements in the market price as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.