TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eloise Swarbrick and Larisa Arnautovic in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eloise Swarbrick' if Eloise Swarbrick advances against Larisa Arnautovic. This market will resolve to 'Larisa Arnautovic' if Larisa Arnautovic advances against Eloise Swarbrick. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eloise Swarbrick and Larisa Arnautovic in the W35 Sydney, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eloise Swarbrick' if Eloise Swarbrick advances against Larisa Arnautovic. This market will resolve to 'Larisa Arnautovic' if Larisa Arnautovic advances against Eloise Swarbrick. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving consensus of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of expectations for the Swarbrick vs Arnautovic match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Swarbrick vs Arnautovic match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential impact on this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 25, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategies for either Eloise Swarbrick or Larisa Arnautovic could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as venue changes or weather impacts, might also play a role. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also influence trader behavior and lead to price fluctuations. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either player winning will likely move this market.